Daniel Satinsky: The last time we talked we focused on your entrepreneurial activities as part of the development of the expat institutions and impact on the emerging economy in Moscow. And so this time I want to talk with you about your experience with the financial sector, because as we both know, there was none in the Soviet Union. All this was brand new, and through the period of privatization, and then later building up institutions, you played a role in that and you experienced that, so I’d like to maybe begin by talking about the privatization period and then move on from there.
Bernard Sucher: So I’ll start?
Daniel Satinsky: Yeah. Go.
Bernard Sucher: Okay, so the reason I knew anything about the finance sector, such as it was, when I first moved to Russia, I was coming out of a finance career. When the Soviet Union actually disappeared, I was at Goldman Sachs, and I had recently visited, for the second time, Russia, and the difference between the Russia that I saw in 1991 and the Russia that I saw in 1980, at least in Moscow that I saw the 11 years’ difference was astonishing to me, so exciting, because it was clear by August 1991, just before the coup against Gorbachev, and I was visiting for a long weekend, I was so encouraged by the physical changes that I had seen walking around the streets, I was encouraged by the fact that I was visiting a friend who was working in a commercial operation, private business, and as the old saying goes, you know, the winds of change were clearly blowing through the streets.
So I was a finance guy at that point, nine years in markets from New York, to Asia, to Europe, and this miracle, historical shocker of all shockers was happening right on my doorstep. And when I couldn’t convince the partners at Goldman Sachs to send me to Moscow to open an office for our bank there, I resigned and I went to Moscow. And on the way a gentleman who was a senior figure at Salomon Brothers heard what I was doing. He called me. His name is Rod Berens. He’s one of the great human beings that I’ve ever met in my life’s journey.
Rod Berens cold called me, and brought me into his office, and said “I’ve been working in the Soviet Union on various financing projects for the last few years, and if you’re going to actually quit Goldman Sachs and then move there, maybe I can help you”. And he had his assistant bring in one of those, as we had in those days, old-fashioned Rolodexes and said, “Carrie, copy all these business cards and give the information to Mr. Sucher, he’s going to Russia.” So this was my prospecting list when I first moved over in the spring of 1993. And towards the top of the list was a business card from a company called Troika Dialog, which of course I had never heard of before.
But sometime in my first week in Moscow I was on a Metro and I saw an advertisement for this very same company, Troika Dialog, and there was an address, and it was associated with a Metro stop. So I took the Metro all the way out to find this company Troika Dialog. And this was in a Metro called Profsoyuznaya, and the building where Troika Dialog was housed was an old Soviet institute for, I think it was, the Central Economic Mathematics Institute, this fantastically ugly building right near the Metro, and if I’m not mistaken, on the third floor. And I still see this in black and white, because that’s what it looked like to me in real life, was this roughly converted Soviet office space. The smell of it is still in my nose, a musty smell that pervaded all government buildings in the former Soviet Union.
There were half a dozen young people scurrying around computers and answering telephones. And I walked in, met a young man, and explained to him in my bad Russian. He answered me in his not very good English. But I explained to him that I wanted to invest $20,000 in the Russian privatization option. And that’s what, of course, Troika Dialog was doing in those days. It was what it was advertising that it was doing on the Metro. And when the young man understood that I was offering $20,000 to invest, he swallowed hard, excused himself, and went to make a phone call. And he came back and said this is really a lot of money, and you need to talk to my boss about this.
So that was the beginning of my journey in Russian financial markets. It turned out that $20,000 was far more money than Troika Dialog had in its own bank account, and seemed to exceed any other customer account size that they had at that moment, so I was a big enough fish to warrant the attention of the recently appointed boss of Troika, who was in fact a part-time employee, because he was still getting his degree, still studying. And a lot of Russian investment companies, broker-dealers and other financial companies that became quite well-known in that space later were, in fact, not born in a garage, but born in the dorm rooms.
Ruben Vardanyan was a student, and he was the new general director of Troika Dialog. And I met him in the Radisson Slavyanskaya Hotel. This was one of the few so-called Western standard places of business, and it was leveraging the fact that it had places to eat, that it had decent telecommunications infrastructure, that it was well located, with access to roads and subway system. They had built a business center, and a fair amount of what constituted the international business community was either based in the Radisson Slavyanskaya or across the river in the Mezhdunarodnaya, the international hotel, and people rented offices, or rented rooms and made the offices, or otherwise convened rather frequently in the Radisson hotel or one of a couple of others of such type.
And the reason we were in the Radisson Slavyanskaya was because the bank that had served as the foundation for the investment bank, Troika Dialog, the commercial bank that had served as the foundation of the Troika Dialog was Dialog Bank, and their main branch office was located in the lobby of the Radisson Slavyanskaya Hotel.
Daniel Satinsky: Right. They were the first foreign commercial bank, I believe.
Bernard Sucher: I believe they were the first foreign commercial bank. Fascinating story of a gentleman named Joe Ritchie, who was a pioneer himself in the brand new options market that kicked off in the 1980s, basically an application of the Black-Scholes theory, which really flowered in Chicago, and Joe Ritchie founded a company called Chicago Research & Trading, where they, using the first computer models in finance, based on Black-Scholes theory, they figured out how to do arbitrages that pretty much guaranteed that if you went long something and short a related security you were going to make a profit, it couldn’t lose. And Joe Ritchie I think characterized this, or somebody else did, as something like snatching dimes from in front of a bulldozer. But if you were good at it you were going to make money.
And Joe Ritchie made so much money that he got in his head that he had to participate in the Soviet economy that was catching the attention of everyone, thanks to Gorbachev’s perestroika reforms. So, Joe Ritchie traveled to the Soviet Union, and as I understand it, they rolled out a red carpet for him, and he was one of the first people to get a license in the new Russian banking center. And to run that bank he tapped a young fellow from NatWest’s investment banking business in New York City. He came from White Russian parentage, a gentleman named Peter Derby.
Peter Derby had gone over as Joe’s representative to run Dialog Bank, and while he was there Peter realized that there was a new set of laws that were going to cover investment banking kind of advisory work that might be useful for Dialog Bank’s corporate clients, so Dialog Bank set up Troika Dialog. And since Peter was busy with Dialog Bank, he had to have someone else run Troika Dialog. His original general director had recently left and gone on to bigger and better things, a remarkable man in his own right named Vladimir Kuznetsov. Ruben Vardanyan, ready or not, student, had stepped up and he became the general director of Troika Dialog when I walked in the door.
Daniel Satinsky: And he is the person you met later then in the lobby of the Radisson?
Bernard Sucher: Yes. And I’ve told this story in different ways over the years, but it’s one that will never fade from memory. The Slavyanskaya may have been the main venue for Western business in Moscow in 1993. There were specific reasons for that, not least because the joint venture was organized on the American side by a fellow from Oklahoma [Paul Tatum]. But a lot of other things were happening at the Radisson Slavyanskaya at 10:30 on a Thursday morning. First of all, evening was always really reluctant to give up its grip on the emerging day, so even at that time of morning you kind of felt like you were in a nightclub. There were men dressed as if they had just come out of a disco, but they were not finished drinking. There were as many women as men, and dressed in a variety of, the only thing I can describe is cocktail costumes. There were people clearly packing weapons and looking like they had been born somewhere in the Caucasus, and then they’d be rubbing shoulders with legitimate cowboys, or oilmen from Texas. It was the Star Wars bar, basically, with the creatures, colorful, flamboyant, and very loud.
And while I tried to get comfortable after I sat down with this young fellow in front of me who, after all, I was trying to figure out whether I could trust him to invest $20,000 in Russia’s brand new privatization auctions, so I was trying to get comfortable, this young man could see that I was casting my eyes around the room, and just kind of astonished at the scene around me. And Ruben Vardanyan said, “I know this is not a normal country. Maybe it never will be. But if I build a normal business, and if other people build normal businesses, then maybe that’s how one day we’ll have a normal country. Please help me build a normal business.”
Daniel Satinsky: So, he quickly moved this from you being an investor to you being an advisor or participant in the business, is that right?
Bernard Sucher: Yes. And this was a man after my own heart, because I was there to help somehow. And it just stood to reason that given the fact that I had some real experience in financial markets, and in fact emerging markets relatively, and immature markets such as we had in Asia in those days, that I should be of some use. I should be of more use in the field that I had been earning my living in than any other. So, I was anxious to be helpful. And Ruben’s vision for what a financial institution could do in this new world was very compelling to me, to put it gently. I was lit on fire with the notion that we could build an influential financial company that would serve as a standard for others to follow. And I wasn’t alone in thinking that. It was a common theme among the early entrepreneurs from the United States who moved to Russia. But that became my mission from the start. And all kinds of silliness ensued from that.
Daniel Satinsky: So, what was your initial position with Troika Dialog? What were you supposed to be doing?
Bernard Sucher: I didn’t really want a position. I wanted to be helpful. So, I’d just arrived in the country. I saw that they needed a lot of help. But I also needed to do a lot of learning myself. I had been given this long list from Mr. Berens at Salomon Brothers, but I had just started working my way through it. I wanted to have the freedom to explore. And after nine years of working on Wall Street, I wanted to also relax a little bit. In short, I was not looking for a job. I was looking to be helpful, but I was not looking to start punching the Wall Street version of a clock.
Daniel Satinsky: Right. So, what does helpful mean? Meaning setting up procedures, telling them how banks run in an international context? What does it mean?
Bernard Sucher: With Troika it started out very simply. I was given an application form to fill out so that I could open an account, somehow convey $20,000 into that account so that Troika could go out on my behalf and start buying privatization vouchers. So, the account form was written in Russian and English. The English was misspelled, and there were certain questions that were asked wrongly, and there were questions that should be asked that were not being asked at all. So, I offered to create a proper account form based on my extraordinary experience being an ordinary citizen who’d had to fill out a lot of account forms in English in financial institutions. That was one element. I was given a brochure in English describing all the wonderful benefits of working with Troika Dialog. That needed to be edited from first word to last, and I edited that. More seriously — by the way, I never stopped editing English language documents until the day I left Russia in June 2015. It just became a thing. But more seriously, the company was passively receiving clients that were referred to it, usually from Dialog Bank.
Daniel Satinsky: And they were foreigners who were referred?
Bernard Sucher: Foreign clients. They were hedge funds that were beginning to invest, they were broker-dealer desks like Merrill Lynch or Salomon Brothers that were beginning to invest in privatization auctions. And while the small band of merry lads and lasses at Troika were gaining an education in school and in real life every day, they had never dealt with financial professionals from London and New York City, and I could easily imagine what kinds of questions these people would be asking, what their objectives would be, what their concerns would be. And so obviously where the rubber met the road, where I could really be helpful was preparing our colleagues for those interactions, training them, and ultimately leading those interactions myself, which is what I began to do.
And I loved the people at Troika. I loved the daily revelations of what was going on around us. Trying to understand what government policy was when government officials themselves did not know what the policy was, when written information was so scarce and difficult to come by. This was effectively pre-internet in Russia. Having potential clients ask you about the Russian oil industry and knowing that it was this fabulous El Dorado of wealth, and not knowing the first thing about it, or where one could get their hands on a report in any venues that would help you understand what the Russian oil industry actually was. This kind of new world moment, where every question was legitimate, and there were no complete answers, if any answers were available at all. Again, I just loved that environment.
Daniel Satinsky: So, information was currency, in a sense.
Bernard Sucher: Absolutely. And the other thing was that once people began to get enough information that they were prepared to take nonetheless big risks, but risks that they felt that they could at least assess a little bit, the next thing that was a currency was who could you trust in this new wild East with your money. Who was actually going to go out and buy the vouchers, or buy the newly issued shares? How did you know that you could trust them to do this and that you would get some kind of property in exchange for your money?
And when enough trading began to develop, we were one of the relatively few places where a person who didn’t speak Russian, who wanted to have some sense of his counterpart, the person opposite, we were one of few places where you could go where oh, there’s a Western organization associated with this operation, there are people in this company who not only speak English, they actually understand the terms we’re using, the financial context in which we’re in. And so, we were very quickly in great demand, in short.
Daniel Satinsky: You were like a gateway for foreigners into the Russian economy, to the extent that it was available.
Bernard Sucher: Absolutely. And depending on who you were, you could find your way through that gate via Credit Suisse, you could find your way through that gate at Salomon Brothers, through Merrill Lynch. But you were going to pay a lot more money to go through a Western institution to access a local supply of privatization vouchers or…well, they were mostly privatization vouchers in 1993. There were very few shares that were available, shares that were trading. But markups between the street price for vouchers and what you’d pay if you were trying to buy them through a, say, Salomon Brothers trading desk in London could be 300, 400%. And there’s no way you would know that.
So if you were a true pioneer investor at this dawn of emerging markets in this wildest of all new frontiers, Russia, you really wanted to find somebody like Troika Dialog. And there were other places, of course, that were developing at the same time, and so it wasn’t like we didn’t have any competition. But good luck finding who the competitors were. Again, there was no phone book. You couldn’t Google who was out there. It was a rumor mill, and we were well placed in the rumor mill principally because if you walked into the Radisson Slavyanskaya there was a Dialog Bank there, and if you asked, they’d be sending you to Troika Dialog.
Daniel Satinsky: So I just want to interject for just a second, because for the sake of the tape and people listening to this later on, at this period of time in privatization all Russian citizens were given a voucher with a face value of 10,000 rubles, and with then a list of companies that were going to be privatized by auction, and you could use your coupon to become a shareholder in these privatized industries. So that was the investment opportunity, was to buy those vouchers so that you could then participate in the auction and buy shares. I think I have that accurately described, right? And then the Russian citizens, most of whom had no idea what these vouchers meant or what they were going to get for them, were selling them, and organizations like yours were aggregating them on behalf of investors with the idea of buying shares in newly privatized businesses, about which people knew almost nothing, right?
Bernard Sucher: That’s an excellent summary. And just to put a point on it, 10,000 rubles on January 1, 1993, bought rather more than 10,000 rubles on March 1, 1993. We were in a hyper inflationary environment and given the fact that most recipients of these vouchers had, as you suggested, no way of evaluating their worth, but were generally speaking not being paid their wages on time and had already suffered a tremendous diminution in their savings, the market price for vouchers was under pressure from the very start.
And let’s say that the typical daily trading price for vouchers was a U.S. dollar equivalent of say $20 in the middle of 1993. Well, with roughly 150 million vouchers outstanding, that meant that much of the capital stock of the former Soviet Union was in aggregate valued at about $3 billion. So, whether you knew much about a specific oil company or the former gas ministry, you just kind of had a sense that if I manage this process properly an entry point at a $3 billion aggregate valuation on Russia’s future stock market is probably a pretty good bet.
Daniel Satinsky: And foreigners understood that better than most Russians at that point. Is that fair to say?
Bernard Sucher: Foreigners had the experience and the context to evaluate that as an opportunity. They had money that very, very few Russians could dream of having. They could afford to lose money in the speculation. And so foreigners dominated speculation in the early years of the Russian market, no surprise. To the great disadvantage of Russian citizens, for sure. But there were larger policy issues that were at play, and not very well understood at the time.
Daniel Satinsky: Right. So, at Troika Dialog you’ve got investment funds coming into the company with the expectation you’re going to go out and buy vouchers that you’ll later use to purchase shares. How did you buy vouchers?
Bernard Sucher: So this was a cash market without any meaningful electronic information. And when I say it’s a cash market, we bought vouchers, which were pieces of paper, in exchange for another piece of paper, either denominated as Russian rubles or U.S. dollars. So, as our operation ramped up and we started accepting orders from hedge funds or major Western broker-dealers or investment banks who were intermediating this traffic, we started out every morning with a million to five million dollars’ worth of orders to buy vouchers. And we had to have a million to five million dollars’ worth of cash physically available to us to go out and conduct these transactions.
Daniel Satinsky: And go out meaning where? Where did you go?
Bernard Sucher: So, there was a more or less organized, formal exchange based in the old Moscow post office on Myasnitskaya, central Moscow. And that was our main venue for purchasing vouchers. But we also appreciated from the beginning that every person had their own requirements, had their own price, and people were distributed across the largest country physically on the planet, so if we wanted to get the best price for vouchers it made sense for us to go to where the sellers were. And if those sellers were out in Tomsk or a little bit closer in Nizhy Novgorod, then we would send out a team, with cash, and we’d meet the locals, and where their vouchers were, and buy locally.
I mean, you can imagine that this is risky, especially in a country where people had been impoverished rather dramatically almost overnight in the recent past, where no elements of the former economy really appeared to be working, that running around with bags of cash was a dangerous activity. So we had to have security present all the time. So we were going out with guns, or men with guns, to ensure that we were not robbed.
Daniel Satinsky: Were you ever robbed?
Bernard Sucher: No, we weren’t. Not once. We got good at the practical logistics of picking up huge amounts of paper, dollars, in the morning at Dialog Bank, ensuring that our money was counted and packaged in a way that made handling and accounting possible, as easy as possible. We got very good at making sure that we had adequate security through a very, very long day. And within that day we were always running other risks, the biggest of which was potential counterfeiting.
Daniel Satinsky: Ah, the counterfeit share, voucher.
Bernard Sucher: And counterfeit dollars, and counterfeit vouchers. Russia was, at that time, in 1993, 1994, the largest physical market for U.S. dollar cash. Russia sucked U.S. dollar cash out of the global circulation system. Plane loads of U.S. dollars were flown in daily to feed the Russian economy, not least for financial speculation that our counterparties and we were engaged in. You’ve got to remember that the biggest bill that the United States issues, for all practical purposes, is a hundred-dollar bill. Well, that will buy you five vouchers. A million dollars is 10,000 pieces of paper. And so, there’s a lot of scope for counterfeit there. And when you run out of hundred-dollar bills, the numbers start getting really — because there’s not that many $50s, we found out. You quickly go to $20s.
Daniel Satinsky: Right. And that’s a lot of paper.